If non-human intelligence is real

If non-human intelligence exists and is disclosed, much of the analysis in the other plans would change. These three essays start from what the public sources say, re-rate the evidence under a stated assumption, and then trace the consequences issue by issue.

These essays examine claims and their consequences. They do not assert that the claims are true. Where sources disagree, the disagreement is shown.

A low-probability, high-impact case

Governments plan for pandemics, asteroid strikes and financial collapse without knowing when, or whether, they will happen. Contact with non-human intelligence belongs on the same list: it may already be under way, or it may become possible as technology advances, and either way the practical questions about governance, health, security and ethics would arrive faster than institutions could improvise answers.

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